Post by scannerman5555 on Nov 21, 2005 21:28:50 GMT -5
Special Weather Statement
Statement as of 7:39 PM EST on November 21, 2005
... Strong coastal storm to affect the tri-state region Monday
evening into Tuesday...
Deepening low pressure over the Carolinas coast will continue to
intensify rapidly as it moves northeast along the coast through
Tuesday. This storm will move to just east of Long Island by
Tuesday morning... before lifting northeast through New England
Tuesday afternoon.
Rain will continue across the region... and may become heavy at
times... especially after midnight. The bulk of the steadiest and
heaviest rain will fall overnight... before starting to taper off
around daybreak Tuesday as the low move north of the area Tuesday
morning. Scattered showers are then expected into early Tuesday
evening as an upper level disturbance moves through. Some of
these showers could mix with... or even change over to snow across
portions of the lower Hudson Valley Tuesday evening. However...
snow accumulations are not expected at this time.
Total rainfall amounts are expected to range between one and a
half and two inches. However... significant flooding problems are
not expected... although downed leaves will clog gutters... sewers
and storm drains. This will result in local urban flooding as
well as water accumulation in low lying and poor drainage areas.
A northeast wind will begin to increase Monday evening... reaching
10 to 15 mph. After a brief lull overnight as the vicinity of the
center of low pressure is nearby... a stronger northwest flow will
develop as the system begins to depart. Sustained winds of 15 to
25 mph... along with gusts up to 35 mph are expected Tuesday. These
winds will be strong enough to result in downed tree branches. By
Tuesday evening the winds will begin to diminish.
After a quiet day on Wednesday... the next storm system will move
across the Great Lakes on Thursday. This will likely result in
another windy precipitation event. With a colder airmass in
place... there will be a chance that more of the precipitation will
fall as snow... especially across interior sections.
Forecast as of 7:48 PM EST on November 21, 2005
Now
Light rain will continue to stream into the area from the south through 9 PM. Thereafter...the intensity should begin to transition to a steady moderate to heavy rain from south to north. Rainfall rates will average around one tenth of an inch per hour through 9 PM and then increase to around a quarter of an inch per hour. Downed leaves combined with this rain will cause slick Road conditions as well as clogged drains leading to ponding of water in poor drainage areas. Drivers should exercise caution while driving this evening.